Voters split on Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’: Poll

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Voters split on Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’: Poll

Voters are evenly divided on President Trump’s “big, beautiful bill,” according to a poll

A Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released Monday found 44 percent of respondents said they supported the Republicans’ major policy bill while another 44 percent said they didn’t support the legislation. A separate 12 percent said they were not sure.

Among the provisions that fared the best among respondents included expanding health savings accounts and increase support for farmers, ranchers and disaster recovery (76 percent); reducing federal spending by $1.3 trillion (69 percent); and creating a permanent child tax credit that is now at $2,200 per family (67 percent).

Some of the provisions that fared the worst among respondents included removing tax and registration requirements for firearm silencers (31 percent); imposing a 5 percent tax on remittances sent abroad (43 percent); and raising the state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap to $40,000 for those earning under $500,000, which decreases to $10,000 after five years (47 percent).

Polling also found respondents divided on whether Trump’s megabill helps or hurts the economy: 48 percent said it will improve the economy while 52 percent said it will make the economy worse. 

Both Republicans and Democrats are leaning into the GOP policy bill as a part of their midterm messaging, with the GOP pointing to its tax cuts as a major benefit while Democrats have criticized the Medicaid cuts included in the bill. 

The divide over Trump’s key package of priorities raises questions over whether voters will see the legislation as an aide or liability for the party heading into the 2026 midterms. 

“Like everything else in the country, attitudes towards the bill are split right down the middle. But there are a lot of popular tax cuts in the bill that the [R]epublicans could capitalize on,” Mark Penn, chair of the Harris Poll, said in an email. 

The Harvard CAPS/Harris poll was conducted July 6-8 and surveyed 2,044 registered voters. It is a collaboration of the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard University and the Harris Poll.

The survey is an online sample drawn from the Harris Panel and weighted to reflect known demographics. The margin of error is 2.2 percentage points.