Poll: Race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is a tossup in … – Madison.com
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“There is no way in my mind 2024 should be another 2020,” Assembly Campaigns and Elections Chair Scott Krug (R-Nekoosa) said during a recent executive session on Assembly Bill 567. “That is the end all be all, and that is exactly what I intend to accomplish by getting this bill to the floor …
One year out from the 2024 election, President Joe Biden is effectively tied with former President Donald Trump in Wisconsin, a Marquette Law School Poll released Wednesday shows.
In a head-to-head matchup, Biden currently has 50% support among registered Wisconsin voters to Trump’s 48%, well within the poll’s margin of error.
Among those who initially said they were undecided between the two, 45% would definitely or probably vote for Biden if they had to choose, and 46% would definitely or probably vote for Trump.
The poll comes as Trump cements his status as the likeliest GOP presidential nominee.
Thirty-eight percent of Republican Wisconsinites prefer Trump, 18% prefer Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, 11% prefer former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley and no other candidate has more than 3% support, though 24% of GOP voters remain undecided.
Biden is also within the margin of error in a hypothetical matchup with DeSantis, with DeSantis at 50% to Biden’s 48%, according to the poll. The Florida governor leads 56% to 34% among those who were initially undecided but then forced to choose between the two.
One matchup well outside the margin of error is between Biden and Haley, with the latter winning 53% to 44%. Haley’s margin is even bigger among undecided voters: 53% to 35%.
Yet, most Wisconsinites view the top presidential contenders unfavorably.
Biden was viewed favorably by 42% and unfavorably by 56% of registered voters in Wisconsin, the poll shows. Trump was viewed favorably by 37% and unfavorably by 61% of voters. DeSantis was viewed favorably by 37% and unfavorably by 49%. And Haley was viewed favorably by 31% and unfavorably by 34% of registered voters.
The poll, conducted over the phone and online between Oct. 26 and Nov. 2 surveyed 908 registered voters and has a 4.5% margin of error.
The sample includes 402 Republicans or Republican leaners, with questions posed to them having a 6.8% margin of error.
Presidential results could change with a third-party candidate, the Marquette poll showed. With Robert F. Kennedy on the ballot, 36% of Republicans say they would probably or definitely vote for him, compared with 17% of Democrats.
The poll comes amid other surveys showing Biden’s reelection far from certain.
A New York Times poll of five swing states — Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Georgia and Arizona — found the Democratic president leading Trump in just one: Wisconsin. And the margins were tight — 47% to 45%.
With regard to voters’ top issues, Wisconsinites would prefer Trump to Biden on immigration and border security, the economy and foreign relations, and prefer Biden to Trump on Medicare and Social Security, abortion policy and climate change, the Marquette poll shows.
Among registered Wisconsin voters, 53% approve of Democratic Gov. Tony Evers and 46% disapprove; 40% approve of the Legislature and 57% disapprove; and 51% approve of the liberal Wisconsin Supreme Court and 43% disapprove.
Heading into her reelection bid, 41% of Wisconsin voters have a favorable view of U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin, D-Madison, and 43% have an unfavorable view.
Forty percent have a favorable view of U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Oshkosh, and 50% have an unfavorable view. Half of voters view Evers favorably to the 42% who don’t, and 16% view Assembly Speaker Robin Vos, R-Rochester, favorably while 36% don’t.
Asked about Israel’s war against Hamas, 28% of Wisconsinites say the U.S. is giving too much support to Israel, 23% say the U.S. isn’t supporting Israel enough and 46% say the U.S. is giving the right amount of support. Thirty-seven percent of Democrats, 29% of independents and 18% of Republicans say the U.S. is giving Israel too much support, while 12% of Democrats, 28% of independents and 32% of Republicans say the U.S. isn’t giving Israel enough support.
Marquette pollsters also asked voters their views on redrawing the state’s legislative maps, widely considered the most gerrymandered in the nation, as liberals seek to have the Wisconsin Supreme Court order new maps before the 2024 election. Fifty-one percent of Wisconsinites want the current maps left in place, while 45% want them redrawn.
Broken down by party, 19% of Republicans want the maps redrawn, compared with 76% who don’t. And 73% of Democrats want them redrawn compared with 23% who don’t.
The redistricting case comes before the liberal Wisconsin Supreme Court several months after liberal Justice Janet Protasiewicz won the most expensive and among the most divisive judicial elections in U.S. history. But despite Republican criticism of Protasiewicz’s embrace of issues on the campaign trail, most Wisconsinites say they wouldn’t want to conduct judicial elections any other way.
Eighty percent of Wisconsinites say judicial candidates should be able to talk about issues during the campaign while 19% said they should avoid it. And 87% still want justices elected compared with the 12% who want them appointed.
Democrats have plenty of good news to celebrate from Tuesday’s elections and there’s more evidence they can win races centered on the national debate over abortion. Abortion rights supporters won big in an Ohio ballot measure. Democratic Gov. Andy Beshear was reelected in Kentucky after running television ads painting his challenger as extremist on abortion. And Virginia’s statehouse will be fully in Democratic control, preventing Republicans from pursuing new abortion restrictions and delivering a big loss to Gov. Glenn Youngkin. The elections provide a snapshot of American politics heading into 2024. But two big names, Joe Biden and Donald Trump, weren’t on the ballot this time.
The Republican presidential candidates at Wednesday’s debate all say they support Israel, but they are squabbling over China and Ukraine. Donald Trump was again absent, holding his own event nearby. At center stage were Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley, who are fighting for a distant second place in the Republican field. Both traded allegations that the other had welcomed Chinese investment into their state. Tim Scott, Chris Christie and Vivek Ramaswamy were also onstage. They face new urgency to cut into Trump’s margins with the leadoff Iowa caucuses just two months away.
Ivanka Trump has testified that her family’s business has “overdelivered,” though she can’t shed light on the financial documents central to her father’s civil fraud trial. Former President Donald Trump’s elder daughter took the witness stand Wednesday in the trial that could reshape his real estate empire. She has been in her father’s inner circle in both business and politics. But she testified that she had no role in her father’s personal financial statements. New York Attorney General Letitia James claims they were fraudulently inflated and deceived banks and lenders. Donald Trump denies any wrongdoing.
Donald Trump went off. Again and again. Making the witness stand at his New York civil trial his podium on Monday, the former president laid into the fraud case against him. He assailed the judge who’ll decide the lawsuit and the state attorney general who brought it. Amid the broadsides, Trump spoke at length defending his real estate empire and his billionaire reputation against Attorney General Letitia James’ allegations that he and his company exaggerated his wealth on financial statements. Trump testified for 3½ hours.
Thousands of Palestinians are streaming out of northern Gaza on foot in an accelerating exodus. Residents said Wednesday that Israeli forces are closing in on the center of Gaza City from multiple directions and that heavy airstrikes continue. Ground forces were reported to be within a mile of Shifa Hospital. The Israeli military says Hamas’ main command center is located in and under the hospital. Hamas disputes that claim. With tens of thousands still in the north in the assault’s path, those fleeing said humanitarian conditions were rapidly deteriorating.
October was the fifth straight month that Earth set a record for the hottest month in recorded history. And it did so by a big margin compared to the Octobers of pre-industrial times — 1.7 degrees Celsius. The Copernicus Climate Change service also said Wednesday that 2023 is now virtually certain to be the hottest year on record. Samantha Burgess, deputy director for the European agency, said the amount by which Earth is smashing temperature records is shocking. Extreme hot weather caused by human-caused climate change and coupled with a powerful El Nino this year has been shattering records around the world.
Top diplomats from the Group of Seven leading industrial democracies have announced a unified stance on the Israel-Hamas war after intensive meetings in Tokyo, condemning Hamas, supporting Israel’s right to self-defense and calling for “humanitarian pauses” to get aid to desperate civilians in Gaza. In a statement, the nations sought to balance condemnation of Hamas’ attacks against Israel and a push for “urgent action” to help civilians in Gaza left without food, water, medical care and shelter. The ministers emphasized that they “support humanitarian pauses to facilitate urgently needed assistance, civilian movement and release of hostages.”
The Biden administration is urging an appeals court to allow sweeping new restrictions on asylum to stay in place, warning that halting them would be “highly disruptive” at the border. The government on Tuesday asked a panel of judges in Pasadena, California — two appointed by President Bill Clinton and one by President Donald Trump — to keep in place a new rule that makes it more difficult to qualify for asylum if someone doesn’t first apply online or doesn’t first seek protection in a country they’re traveling through before getting to the U.S. Immigrant advocate groups say the law allows people to apply for asylum wherever they enter the country. The restrictions remain in place while under appeal.
The prosecutor overseeing the Hunter Biden investigation has testified for nearly seven hours before congressional investigators, saying he had ultimate authority over the yearslong case. The closed-door interview on Tuesday marks the first time a special counsel is appearing before Congress in the middle of a probe. It comes as House Republicans are aiming to ramp up their impeachment inquiry into the president and his family after weeks of stalemate. Members of the House Judiciary Committee questioned David Weiss on allegations that was not the decision-maker in the case into the president’s son and that the probe was influenced by political pressure. A spokesperson for Weiss calls his testimony “unprecedented.”
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“There is no way in my mind 2024 should be another 2020,” Assembly Campaigns and Elections Chair Scott Krug (R-Nekoosa) said during a recent e…
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