Trump Widens Lead After Biden's Debate Debacle, Times/Siena Poll Finds – The New York Times
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Donald Trump is ahead of President Biden by six percentage points among likely voters in a new national survey. Overall, 74 percent of voters view Mr. Biden as too old for the job, an uptick since the debate.
THE NEW YORK TIMES/SIENA COLLEGE POLL
June 28 to July 2
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were
Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
Biden
Trump
43%
49
Likely
voters
Margin of error
41
49
Registered
voters
THE NEW YORK TIMES/SIENA COLLEGE POLL
June 28 to July 2
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
Biden
Trump
43%
49
Likely voters
Margin of error
49
41
Registered voters
THE NEW YORK TIMES/SIENA COLLEGE POLL
June 28 to July 2
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were
Joe Biden and Donald Trump?
Biden
Trump
43%
49
Likely
voters
Margin of error
41
49
Registered
voters
Note: The margin of sampling error for likely voters is plus or minus 2.9 points. For registered voters it is plus or minus 2.8 points.
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of 1,532 voters nationwide conducted from June 28 to July 2, 2024.
By Lily Boyce
Donald J. Trump’s lead in the 2024 presidential race has widened after President Biden’s fumbling debate performance last week, as concerns that Mr. Biden is too old to govern effectively rose to new heights among Democrats and independent voters, a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College showed.
Mr. Trump now leads Mr. Biden 49 percent to 43 percent among likely voters nationally, a three-point swing toward the Republican from just a week earlier, before the debate. It is the largest lead Mr. Trump has recorded in a Times/Siena poll since 2015. Mr. Trump leads by even more among registered voters, 49 percent to 41 percent.
Doubts about Mr. Biden’s age and acuity are widespread and growing. A majority of every demographic, geographic and ideological group in the poll — including Black voters and those who said they will still be voting for him — believe Mr. Biden, 81, is too old to be effective.
[The poll does not show a fundamental change in the race, but it adds to longstanding concerns, Nate Cohn writes.]
Overall, 74 percent of voters view him as too old for the job, up five percentage points since the debate. Concerns about Mr. Biden’s age have spiked eight percentage points among Democrats in the week since the debate, to 59 percent. The share of independent voters who said they felt that way rose to 79 percent, nearly matching the Republican view of the president.
Notes: Margins are calculated using unrounded vote shares when available. The Times’s polling average is as of 1:15 p.m. Eastern.
By Lily Boyce
The New York Times/Siena College Poll
Do you think Joe Biden should remain the Democratic Party’s nominee for president, or should there be a different Democratic nominee for president?
The New York Times/Siena College Poll
Do you think Donald Trump should remain the Republican Party’s nominee for president, or should there be a different Republican nominee for president?
Note: The unlabeled segment refers to the share of voters who did not respond or who said they didn’t know.
Based on New York Times/Siena College polls of registered voters nationwide conducted from June 20 to 25, 2024, and from June 28 to July 2, 2024.
By Lily Boyce
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